Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.081333 0.090870 0.100608 0.111265 0.122571 0.134180 0.146976
2025-06-01 0.062374 0.076208 0.091047 0.108013 0.126745 0.146674 0.169363
2025-06-08 0.049919 0.066046 0.084096 0.105483 0.129835 0.156433 0.187420
2025-06-15 0.043416 0.061432 0.082314 0.107753 0.137399 0.170403 0.209489
2025-06-22 0.037749 0.056990 0.080034 0.108825 0.143065 0.181810 0.228322
2025-06-29 0.034866 0.055549 0.080991 0.113410 0.152569 0.197423 0.251810
2025-07-06 0.030663 0.051939 0.078897 0.113990 0.157074 0.207049 0.268264
2025-07-13 0.030314 0.053324 0.083009 0.122137 0.170630 0.227281 0.297073
2025-07-20 0.025765 0.048527 0.078841 0.119672 0.171088 0.231873 0.307466
2025-07-27 0.024216 0.047793 0.079867 0.123681 0.179415 0.245799 0.328839
2025-08-03 0.021710 0.045412 0.078505 0.124473 0.183643 0.254728 0.344245
2025-08-10 0.019813 0.043758 0.077993 0.126261 0.189040 0.265023 0.361256
2025-08-17 0.017715 0.041759 0.077110 0.127803 0.194506 0.275907 0.379648
2025-08-24 0.014493 0.037584 0.072903 0.124743 0.194027 0.279500 0.389326
2025-08-31 0.011802 0.033911 0.069142 0.122064 0.193866 0.283369 0.399259
2025-09-07 0.010650 0.032835 0.069164 0.124554 0.200421 0.295600 0.419424
2025-09-14 0.009340 0.031270 0.068313 0.125725 0.205177 0.305544 0.436776
2025-09-21 0.008930 0.031434 0.070148 0.130722 0.215044 0.321978 0.462193
2025-09-28 0.007737 0.029803 0.069008 0.131353 0.219007 0.330894 0.478296
2025-10-05 0.008113 0.031597 0.073480 0.140212 0.234141 0.354127 0.512286
2025-10-12 0.006511 0.028754 0.070166 0.137534 0.233545 0.357187 0.521106
2025-10-19 0.006169 0.028769 0.071607 0.141889 0.242553 0.372602 0.545409
2025-10-26 0.005352 0.027484 0.070750 0.142749 0.246728 0.381772 0.561887